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Log from 2016-03-27: Mar 27 00:22:28 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) Mar 27 00:27:07 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 02:34:21 2016 * sinewav has quit (Quit: couldn't handle it and left) Mar 27 03:00:33 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) Mar 27 03:03:12 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 03:15:40 2016 * nelg-bot has quit (Ping timeout: 252 seconds) Mar 27 03:40:35 2016 * therealbob (~therealbo@85.255.232.154) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 03:42:45 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) Mar 27 03:45:26 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 03:53:14 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) 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Mar 27 17:23:28 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 17:39:23 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) Mar 27 17:44:40 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 18:01:24 2016 * therealbob has quit (Ping timeout: 244 seconds) Mar 27 18:10:44 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) Mar 27 18:13:43 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 18:38:19 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) Mar 27 18:40:17 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 18:50:58 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) 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Mar 27 19:41:13 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 19:48:38 2016 * Lucifer_arma_ (~Lucifer_a@172.58.104.211) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 19:51:36 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Ping timeout: 276 seconds) Mar 27 20:11:16 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 20:11:20 2016 * Lucifer_arma_ has quit (Ping timeout: 268 seconds) Mar 27 20:46:54 2016 <Lucifer_arma> that moment when you realize you should start creating modules for all this crap, but you instead stick a bunch of functions at the end of the script Mar 27 20:47:20 2016 <Lucifer_arma> (actually, I'm walking away and getting dinner instead of doing that, intending to come back with a clearer head) Mar 27 20:58:24 2016 <ct|kyle> Lucifer_arma: fun feeling isent it Mar 27 20:59:22 2016 <Lucifer_arma> yeah, I'm thinking I'm going with modules. I've already hard-coded the data sets, and I don't want to have to revise it too much when I generalize it Mar 27 21:00:32 2016 <Lucifer_arma> it's my election prediction script. :) I want to generalize the output so it can write to a webpage, at which point I'll put it on my server Mar 27 21:00:44 2016 <Lucifer_arma> then I'll want to generalize the data processing so it can also work on predicting the GOP side Mar 27 21:00:54 2016 <Lucifer_arma> right now it's hardcoded to Bernie vs Hillary Mar 27 21:01:13 2016 <ct|kyle> who's winning? Mar 27 21:01:19 2016 <Luke-Jr> Obama Mar 27 21:01:37 2016 <Lucifer_arma> got some cool results. It's showing Bernie winning with 300 delegates over Hillary, but neither with enough pledged delegates Mar 27 21:01:37 2016 <Lucifer_arma> Bernie overtakes on April 26th Mar 27 21:02:03 2016 <Lucifer_arma> see, I wrote it to test the hypothesis from the Bernie campaign that Hillary has shot her wad already, and the rest of the primary calendar favors him Mar 27 21:02:17 2016 <ct|kyle> sinewav: o he wins indiana? Mar 27 21:02:20 2016 <Lucifer_arma> and so far, that hypothesis is holding true, but only smaller states have voted Mar 27 21:02:22 2016 <ct|kyle> so he wins* Mar 27 21:03:16 2016 <Lucifer_arma> well, he wins every state that's left Mar 27 21:03:35 2016 <Lucifer_arma> the hypothesis isn't whether or not he wins other states, it's by how much Mar 27 21:03:43 2016 <ct|kyle> ah Mar 27 21:03:51 2016 <Lucifer_arma> so my indiana prediction, as of right now, is Bernie wins 55-28 (that's delegates, not percentages) Mar 27 21:04:10 2016 <Lucifer_arma> I take every state starting with last Tuesday's results and calculate Bernies win/loss ratio, and apply that to all states left to vote Mar 27 21:04:16 2016 <ct|kyle> that probbaoly is not too far off Mar 27 21:04:19 2016 <Luke-Jr> I'm surprised Obama didn't nominate Hillary for the supreme court Mar 27 21:04:23 2016 <ct|kyle> maybe a little bit closer Mar 27 21:04:38 2016 <Lucifer_arma> My predictions were lower in terms of Bernie's wins for yesterday. He won bigger than I predicted. Mar 27 21:05:51 2016 <Lucifer_arma> but if Hillary starts winning again, that would lower Bernie's win/loss ratio and might predict Hillary winning more states Mar 27 21:06:21 2016 <Lucifer_arma> I'm thinking of adding a third calculation, which is win/loss for each state where they won, and then applying that to states they're each expected to win, but I have no way to determine the "expected to win" bit Mar 27 21:06:39 2016 <Lucifer_arma> any idea where I can get easy script access to opinion polling data? Mar 27 21:07:03 2016 <ct|kyle> heh good luck finding that Mar 27 21:07:14 2016 <Lucifer_arma> I'm sure it's available, but I may have to pay for it Mar 27 21:07:25 2016 <Lucifer_arma> which means I won't have it, heh, I'm such a freeloader Mar 27 21:07:29 2016 <ct|kyle> 4 years ago you could follow a few select superpack twitter handles though Mar 27 21:07:54 2016 <Lucifer_arma> but after I generalize output, I'll get input generalized and then have to put in the current results for the GOP side Mar 27 21:08:15 2016 <Lucifer_arma> I'll be too busy working on that to worry about opinion polls, but if I can get them, I'd like them for when I start predicting the general election Mar 27 21:09:00 2016 <ct|kyle> just start your own polls :P Mar 27 21:13:22 2016 <Lucifer_arma> haha, I just thought of that Mar 27 21:13:35 2016 <Lucifer_arma> I'd need to make it robot calling, though. Mar 27 21:14:21 2016 <Lucifer_arma> which would mean I'd need a phone I can use for that, and a good robot survey app Mar 27 21:15:05 2016 <ct|kyle> just use ms sam Mar 27 21:17:58 2016 <Lucifer_arma> does it run in linux? Mar 27 21:19:58 2016 <ct|kyle> Lucifer_arma: maybe with wine, or react OS? Mar 27 22:11:30 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) Mar 27 22:17:53 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 22:22:07 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) Mar 27 22:30:32 2016 * ct|kyle has quit (Remote host closed the connection) Mar 27 22:31:27 2016 * Lucifer_arma (~Lucifer_a@cpe-66-68-59-243.austin.res.rr.com) has joined #armagetron Mar 27 22:37:58 2016 * Lucifer_arma has quit (Quit: No Ping reply in 180 seconds.) 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is a site that has tools, maps, and other various items. It orignally only existed as a server control panel, but I slowly began adding stuff such as a homepage and tools.
Gridder
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